Census Mocked After It Claimed Miami-Dade Population Shrunk 1% Last Year

Census Bureau data released last month that showed Miami-Dade’s population dropped in the 12-month period ending July 1, 2021.

The report was met with disbelief and ridicule by some Twitter users.

According to the Census, Miami-Dade’s population grew 8.2% in the past decade, from 2,496,435 in 2010, to 2,701,767 in 2020.

However, from July 2020 to July 2021, the agency claims that Miami-Dade’s population shrunk by 1.1% – at a time when Miami was seeing a Covid-fueled influx of new residents.

The drop is even higher from April 1, 2020 (around the start of the pandemic) to July 1, 2021. During that 15-month period, Miami-Dade’s population is claimed to have declined a total of 1.4%.

“These census data takers were not driving in rush hour traffic or trying to get a table at a packed restaurant on a Tuesday,” wrote Carlos Frías, a Miami Herald editor.

Others pointed to the housing market. Miami has seen the highest increase in rents of any U.S. city over the past year, with demand so high that bidding wars are breaking out over apartments.

Miami-Dade was not alone in seeing a population drop in the year ending July 2021. According to the Census, 8 out of the top 10 most populous counties in the U.S. saw a decline during the period.

 

 

 

 

66 Comments
most voted
newest oldest
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Anonymous
1 month ago

it does n’t feel like miami dade lost population it feels the opposite

Anonymous
1 month ago

Theres been a working class exodus from South Florida for a few years now and the fools from NY and CA overpaying for rent and mortgages down here arent nearly enough in number to make up for it. Next years census is gonna show an even bigger loss given the comically unsustainable level housing is priced at now.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Maybe the influx was from immigrants that didn’t report their status?

Not Anonymous
1 month ago

maybe

Anonymous
1 month ago

Im thinking as the city gentrified in areas, we lost poorer families that tend to live use the same single-family homes, apartments, or condos to live in multi-family and multi-generational units, and we replaced them with younger, smaller, transplant residents who might be single, or just live in smaller family units.

We’re also having a ton of construction in areas, so while we had a huge influx, maybe some of the supply we’re counting on for the future just havent come online yet for them.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Not from July 2020 to January 2021 at least. I’m sure certain states (*cough* New York and California *cough*) want that status reported so they don’t lose more representatives, which is why they were so against big bad orange man wanting the Census not to count them, most who shouldn’t even be here.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Yeah, but then they’d lose the no state income tax of FL by not declaring.

anonymous
1 month ago

They’re talking about representatives in the house buddy not taxes

Anonymous
1 month ago

Yeah Twitter is where all the real facts come from lmao

Not Anonymous
1 month ago

😂 this census is a joke

Anonymous
1 month ago

It’s not even the Census, which is every ten years. It’s the ACS.

MDCPS
1 month ago

The numbers are accurate. I work for the school department and schools in the outlying suburbs are bleeding students and families, many of whom are relocating to Central Florida due to exploding rents. The urban core has seen an influx of newcomers, and thus horrendous traffic and long restaurant waits, but anywhere outside of the areas east of I-95 are losing thousands of people per month. Miami’s wages were never meant for the new astronomical increase in rents.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Um, what?

Your assessment makes no sense.

sjk
1 month ago

it makes perfect sense….influx east of I-95, exit from the west of I-95.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Makes perfect sense. In addition, Cubans in Miami are the oldest Latinx group in the country and they’re dying faster than reproducing.

Vince
1 month ago

Latin”x” LMAO you’re funny

Anonymous
1 month ago

Notice how whenever people use the term “ latinx “, most hispanics don’t take it too kindly.

Anonymous
1 month ago

minus the 80k that died from covid

Joe D
1 month ago

Vax or no vax, Covid doesn’t care. You should know that by now.

Anonymous
1 month ago

You are too busy listening to political science instead of real science. No better immunity than herd or acquired. I’m not taking no JAB

Anonymous
1 month ago

Not taking “no jab” means your gonna get a vaccine! Congrats!

Anonymous
1 month ago

A family member of mine had a “no vax” stance until he caught the covid virus and almost died from it.

He then changed his attitude real quick from the “no vax” stance.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Wrong. Statistics show that while 82% of Americans are vaccinated, people who were not vaccinated were 9x more likely to die from COVID

Anonymous
1 month ago

…and from July 2021 to July 2022 it’ll be even more.

Pájaro Nalgon
1 month ago

For every rich person that moves in to miami, two lower class people leave. High rise construction and condo demand doesn’t mean shit. It just means more expensive housing which tends to push out poor people.

Miami doesn’t have industries like big tech, oil, finance, etc. Just tourism. Most Miami natives still making barely $40k while ballers from others places move in with $150k. Miami’s economy is truly ass backwards.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Yes and no.

There is no evidence that indicates new condo construction causes displacement beyond the usually smaller home demolished or vacant land it now occupies.

In fact academic evidence indicates that without that condo, displacement would increase in the area.

But you are definitely correct the new household population sizes are smaller than the older household sizes.

Anonymous
1 month ago

It was by design to make sure cities,
AKA blue islands, underreported their populations.

Duck who flew from Miami Lakes
1 month ago

propaganda

Anonymous
1 month ago

Haha.. another conspiracy that’s was cooked up like the “presidential election was stolen.”

DJL Cyber
1 month ago

Do some research and you’ll see it’s a proven fact.

PirataDeCulo
1 month ago

Facebook research…lol

DJL Cyber
1 month ago

Nope, real life experience from members of a charity group. The funny thing is, you can find proof by speaking with people from voting centers. Personal experience counts too.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Haha.. yeah, a “proven fact” that even William Barr didn’t agree with.

DJL Cyber
1 month ago

Doesn’t matter if he doesn’t agree, you shouldn’t always rely on what he says.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Explain how COVID and the deadly riots of BLM and Antifa happened right before the election. That sounds suspicious, doesn’t it?

Not Anonymous
1 month ago

It is also harder to count when there are so many people in one place

Dro
1 month ago

Dade county is not downtown miami, and south beach where most new residents live. The fact is that many people have moved to central Florida and other areas which are more economical. So yes the censors may be right

Not Anonymous
1 month ago

SoBe is one of the few places in Dade that have continually shrunken in population over the years. Most newcomers are coming to Brickell, not Miami Beach

sjk
1 month ago

Yes folks are flocking to Brickell/Downtown but that’s not the real reason Sobe has shrunk. It’s more because there has been a shift towards Luxury real estate there as available lots shrink. This results in smaller more cramped denser units being replaced by bigger more expensive units being inhabited by less people. More $ per square foot = less residents per square foot.

Pickles
1 month ago

Actually what he is saying is correct. A lot of residents are getting priced out and the jobs are not keeping up with wages to afford living in Dade. In most major markets where the cost of living is high, jobs also pay good wages too.

doubting
1 month ago

So where is the invisible hand here? If wealthier residents move to an area, they still have to be serviced at restaurants, stores, and home repair by actual humans. Why aren’t wages in lower end jobs rising to allow people to stay? This is while I do believe in capitalism as a wealth creator, and the fairiest one at that, I never for a second believed that market forces alone balance each other. If you were to carry out this experiment to the end, Miami would be left with rich people who cannot eat because the waiters and supermarket workers all were forced to move away. How is it that in places like Switzerland or Norway lower end jobs do pay a ton more to compensate to some extent for the high living costs.

Antonumous emigrant
1 month ago

Wages won’t rise much because that takes profits from business owners. You asked how Switzerland can pay better wages? Less desire by the owners to maximal profits; they are content with smaller profits and better lifestyles. Illustrated by the fact a few billionaires in this country have personal wealth greater than the GDP of some countries. There you go.

Pickles
1 month ago

It’s actually perfectly normal for major metro markets to lose some population. It goes up and down depending on the local economy. As you can see from that census, most of the major metro markets have lost some population.

Miami_Data_Nerd
1 month ago

Miami would lose population each year if it weren’t for international migration. That had been true for decades. There has been VERY little international migration since 2016.

This isn’t a surprise to me. I’d also check average household size, that could shed some light. I.E. it’s not families of 5 living in the $4000/MO 1BR’s in Edgewater.

Anonymous
1 month ago

And international migration was limited in 2021 until early November when the US government lifted restrictions for fully vaccinated.

Anonymous
1 month ago

2022: It’s not fact if it doesn’t match the Twitter hype narrative. This is like the tech bro tweeting that he loved Miami over Silicon Valley because everyone was so much friendlier.

Nelson
1 month ago

So because there is more traffic it means that there are more people moving in. Sometimes people live too much inside a bubble. What happens around you is not representative of the whole county or country. Im sure folks in Polk County thought Trump would win in 2020 because nobody there voted against him….maybe that is why they think the election was stolen?? That isnt how the world works…..

Anonymous
1 month ago

It could easily mean there are a lot more tourists and seasonal residents not counted as permanent in the census. Makes sense middle class with equity cashing out, poor priced out, and remote workers and rich escaping cold winters to work in South Florida but they may be gone this summer.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Breaking state constitutional law because “muh COVID” and locking out observers the morning after election day to the weekend isn’t how the world works, at least the civilized part… and before you rebut bringing up January 6th, I will agree with that as well.

Anon
1 month ago

Lots of people skipped theirs, and civic minded people who would have done theirs moved out as they were priced out. I had family members move from Dade to Broward so I can believe that their movement was captured but maybe not that of some tech bro who went to Brickell.

Anonymous
1 month ago

No question the addition of the citizenship status question added to the 2020 Census form, and continuing forward, has resulted in an undercount of Hispanics in Miami Dade which comprises a huge portion of the population.

Fern
1 month ago

There wasn’t a citizenship question in the 2020 census. It got blocked by SCOTUS. And regardless this article is talking about the Census Bureau’s yearly estimate for 2021

sjk
1 month ago

regardless of wether the question was actually in the census ,the goal was to make it a public debate (& then some) by Trump & Republicans from their bully pulpit which had the same effect, successfully in my view, Regarding 2021 estimate. I’m not 100% sure but I suspect that population data after census years like 2020 is still correlated or based on certain metrics in conjunction with the 2020 census numbers baseline till the next census (2030).

wanderer34
1 month ago

I sent an email to the US census asking why they don’t have the 1-year census estimates, which is supposed to be the gold standard as it has the most exact figures and they told me that they won’t offer the 1-year estimates but the 5-year ones instead, which are the least exact. The 5-year estimates are only good for the smaller municipalities but if you want information on bigger cities, certain counties, and most stats, you have to go to the 1-year estimates.

Either way, I’m thinking that the US Census is working for not distributing the 1-year estimates in a timely manner and I told them that plus the fact that Miami could’ve reached the half a million mark but the census doesn’t reflect that should be a lawsuit from the City of Miami as well as Miami-Dade County, and I’m still surprised that both entities haven’t done that already!

real estate BS
1 month ago

I’m sure they will jump to your every wish

sjk
1 month ago

Its a tale of two cities within Miami Dade.. The city of Miami gained but areas like Kendall, Hialeah, Miami Gardens, Aventura ,lost population when you break it down. That trajectory seems to have remained the same in to 2022. Is it Trump Census tactics? or, maybe financial giants like Blackstone’s steady protracted acquisition of real estate in outer urban areas resulting in a smaller family demographic replacing larger families? Did Covid impact the census accuracy?

Anonymous
1 month ago

Looking at things from the county level is pretty pointless. The focus should be on the MSA level. If people are moving from Dade to Broward for example due to housing cost that’s totally different then people moving from Dade to the midwest.

Miami Winning
1 month ago

From all the increase in airport traffic, the inference is otherwise.

Anonymous
1 month ago

Miami-Dade did not lose population and is not losing population. The US Census bureau is yet another bloated federal agency that has long outlived its usefulness. They also claimed that the whole state of Florida gained only 228,000 people between April of 2020 and April of 2021. All of the other measuring statistics show unprecedented population expansion, not a 40% drop in population growth for the state. The census bureau is also tainted by political intrusion, much like most other government agencies which are supposed to be unbiased institutions whose only agenda is to make an honest attempt to gather accurate data and disseminate information that is as factual as possible, rather than discretely helping to drive a political narrative. Here is but just one example of how poorly the census bureau measures population growth: It is obvious that there has been a dramatic increase in undocumented foreign immigrants into the US over the past year. That alone would totally erase any possible loss of poor people from South Florida into Central Florida, due to escalating home prices and rental rates, as some here have suggested. Besides which, if so many poor and middle class people are relocating to other parts of Florida to get away from runaway housing costs in South Florida, why then are they not showing up as increasing population numbers in Central Florida? The census bureau is now a fossilized relic and needs to go, period!

Knower
1 month ago

>Everything I don’t like is fake.

loss angeles
1 month ago

Definitely false. They’re just la lovers 🤮

Miamikid305
1 month ago

This is just like Miami murders annual stats, live in Miami and we have murders almost every day and they show 55 murders in Miami, what a joke I know for sure Miami get 150 to 200 murders every year and Miami Dade 400+ I don’t believe any stats about Miami it’s like we are on our own. If anything Miami Dade grew 100,000 + residents.

Duck who flew from Miami Lakes
1 month ago

I didn’t do mine in 2020 nor did my family.

Anonymous
1 month ago

You and your family in MiamiDade county are not alone.

Not Anonymous
1 month ago

That is why! People like you are the reason we are underrepresented!

Just to tell you this
1 month ago

Guajajajaja. Yes sure, that is the reason. I hope that was you being ironic…